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What Will Be vs. Informational Rules Customer Description: Paper Body: People who still dread keyboards may find some relief in What Will Be by Micheal Dertouzos and Information Rules by Shapiro and Varian. Authors predict they will be disappearing within five years--replaced by systems that will allow us to talk to computers. As a result, computers will shrink in size, proliferate, and end up in everything that can draw power from the wall or a battery. And they'll all be connected to the Internet. In this paper, I will contrast and compare these two books. In order to perform it, I will analyze each book and then draw some comparisons of the books. Tomorrow's ''information
marketplace'' will offer a panoply of tools to help us deal with
computers--and vice versa. Systems will learn what we want by tracking
our eye movements. Business cards won't be necessary because handshakes
will trigger information exchanges between our so-called Bodynets. These
Bodynets will link a personal armada of tiny silicon chips--buried in
shoes, belts, and credit cards--with the outside world, so people can
make phone calls, check E-mail, watch TV, and buy groceries while walking
down the street. Eyeglasses will become de rigueur since they'll provide
video displays. The big ones include a new sense of community. Personal computers have often exacerbated the divergence in shared experience unleashed by technology. Like cars, PCs tend to isolate us in private, often dehumanizing cocoons. Many home PCs still aren't equipped with modems. But ubiquitous computers hooked to a wireless, global, multimedia Internet ''will rebuild the notion of community, this time among millions of people,'' he argues. For people with common interests, geography will be immaterial. The world will evolve from ''computer autocracy to computer democracy.'' In Information Rules by Shapiro and Varian, authors warn managers, "Ignore basic economic principles at your own risk. Technology changes. Economic laws do not." Understanding these laws and their relevance to information goods is critical when fashioning today's successful competitive strategies. Information Rules introduces and explains the economic concepts needed to navigate the evolving network economy. Michael Dertouzos states in
his book that the Second major explosion of the Information Marketplace,
following the entertainment transformation already underway, will take
place in health care. We have to come to agreement on shared conventions.
It could be as simple as standardizing electronic forms for buying or
selling goods, for routing health care information. He examines what comes after the Web; what technological innovations are truly on the horizon; and what specific steps companies should follow to get a head start. Information technology will change the world so profoundly that it will create a third socio-economic revolution equal in scale the Agricultural and Industrial revolutions. As a veteran technologist,
Dertouzos really does know what's feasible and what's not; as the
director of a high-powered research lab, he knows what the industry is
likely to implement next year, in 5 years, and even in 10 years. Because
of this, his assessments of the future make better reading than others'. One of my favorites is in the section on how technology is affecting business. He deflates the idea of the Chief Knowledge Officer position that many major corporations have sought to fill, saying that it is silly and useless. He also throws in a few "tricks" involving gee-whiz scenarios that are actually true today, such as one about an artificial-intelligence program that determines digitalis dosages to heart patients...
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